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Our review of the Fed’s performance raises two very distinct questions: Might the United States have done better than to have established the Fed in 1914, and might it do better than to retain it today? While the first question is of interest to economic historians, the second should be of interest to policymakers.

Coming up with alternatives to the Fed today takes some imagination. Assuming that there is no political prospect of restoring a gold standard or other commodity money standard, for the dollar to retain its value some public institution must keep fiat money sufficiently scarce. In this respect at least, our finding that the Fed has failed does not, by itself, indicate that it would be practical to entirely dispense with some sort of public monetary authority. But neither does it indicate that the only avenues for improvement are marginal revisions to Fed operating procedures or additions to its powers.

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